It’s election year for major emerging market economies from India to Brazil. And political risk falls at a time when investors are assessing just what an unwinding of US monetary stimulus means for the developing world. The so-called ‘Fragile Five’ – India, Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa and Turkey – all hold elections in the months ahead, with corruption just one theme expected to be feature highly.
There has been a notable shift in market concerns about emerging markets over the past month or so,” said our researchers. “While the May to August 2013 phase of the sell-off was dominated by fears about balance of payments weaknesses, the current phase is about a broader set of risks, in particular growth, the credibility of the policy-making regime and the political climate in general.”
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